Monday, August 23, 2010

Update: Crawford and Causey Campaigns Respond to Poll

ARRA News Service - Update 8/23/10 to Prior Story: Arkansas 1st Congressional District: Crawford Leads Causey By 16 Points

Comments From the Crawford Campaign:
Crawford stated "I am thrilled that my message of standing up to Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi and the Washington insiders is gaining more traction every day. This poll is proof that the voters want a leader in Congress who won't yield to the liberals and special interests. While I am excited to continue to lead in the polls, I am focused on the only poll that really matters; that's the one on November 2nd. My campaign will continue to work day and night as we head into the final months of this campaign."

Crawford's Campaign Manager Jonah Shumate added, "Rick is the only person in this race that won't cast his first vote in Congress for Nancy Pelosi and who consistently stands up for the views of the people of the first district. These polls show the people of Arkansas want a leader who isn't afraid to stand up for our values. Chad Causey is having a lot of trouble being straight with Arkansas voters about where he stands on the issues and that is a clear contrast with Rick's willingness to take the bull by the horns".
We noted that in its response to the poll which were conducted in part by Dr. Jay Barth who is also a member of the Arkansas Democrat Party Executive Committee, the Causey campaign issued a sophomoric statement not on issues or evidencing a desire to improve their messaging but instead presented a list of Obama Chicago style styled attacks titled: "Facts about Rick Crawford that do not resonate with Arkansans." The polls are showing Crawford is already resonating with the public. The first item is really going to tick off a lot of veterans in Arkansas; it reads: "He [Rick Crawford] graduated high school in New Hampshire."

Yes, Crawford did graduate form a High School in New Hampshire. Why, because his Father was in the Air Force and was stationed at that time in New Hampshire. In fairness, we also noted that Rick Crawford was absent from Arkansas for many other years while serving in the US Army as an EOD specialist.

Could not find a record of Chad Causey serving his country. He has predominantly worked most of his post-teen life as a staffer for Rep. Marion Berry. Thus, he too has also been absent from Arkansas -- living in Washington, D.C. area. As a democratic staffer, he has associated with and supported the liberal elitists like Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and Barack Obama. While checking Causey's credentials online, the following tidbit was noted:  Causey has made numerous trips paid for by "foreign sources." Maybe this is to be expected for a staffer. But the following trip by Causey was most interesting: From 05/24/08 to 06/01/08, Causey was in Turkey for 9 days on a trip  paid for ($3,020) by the Rumi Forum for Interfaith Dialogue. This group follows the teachings of Muslim Imam Fethullah Gulen - founder of a "global" social movement. The group appears to operate internationally through partnering organizations. There is a link on their website for board of directors but the names of their directors are absent.
Tags: Arkansas, AR-01, 1st District, 2010 Election, Rick Crawford, Chad Causey, poll, Talk Business

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Arkansas 1st Congressional District: Crawford Leads Causey By 16 Points

Arkansas 1st Congressional District
Talkbusiness.net (Aug 22, 2010): Republican cross-winds are swirling at this juncture of the Arkansas election cycle even in traditional Democratic strongholds.  A new Talk Business Poll conducted by Talk Business Research and Hendrix College shows First District Congressional Republican nominee Rick Crawford with a 16-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Chad Causey.

In a survey conducted on Tuesday night, August 17, 2010, Crawford leads Causey 48-32% among 630 likely Arkansas voters in the district. Green Party nominee Ken Adler received 4% of support from those surveyed, while undecided voters stood at 16%.  You can view the full results of the poll and the questions asked at this link.

"This is a truly dramatic result that I believe sets the stage for a very favorable election climate for Republicans in Arkansas.  For Democrats, it is a clear signal that this fall's election may be the toughest landscape they've ever faced in the First," said Talk Business editor Roby Brock.

"As we did in the Second District, this First District poll is a baseline for November.  I expect the political artillery to be heavy in this contest based on each campaign's resources and the attention this race will draw nationally," Brock added.

Due to the unprecedented nature of these results for a Republican nominee, Talk Business conducted a second field poll in the First District on Thursday, August 19, 2010. While our sample size was slightly smaller - 481 likely voter respondents - the results were identical with Republican Rick Crawford polling at 48% and Democrat Chad Causey at 32%. Dr. Jay Barth, with the Hendrix College Department of Politics and International Relations, helped craft and analyze the polls. He offered the following observations from the results:
PRO-REPUBLICAN WINDS  This poll shows the breadth and depth of the pro-Republican winds in Arkansas in 2010.  The area covered by CD1 has not elected a Republican to Congress since Reconstruction and a victory here would be extraordinary. Rick Crawford enters the fall campaign with a strong chance of replacing Marion Berry, leading the Congressman’s former chief of staff, Chad Causey, 48-32% with 16% of likely voters undecided and 4% supporting Green Party candidate Ken Adler.

RESOURCE EQUALITY The decision of national Republicans to invest on Crawford’s behalf with spending in the district, announced this past week, appears not to be an attempt to win a long-shot race but instead seems like a legitimate attempt to win a seat that could create a Republican majority in the House of Representatives.  This is a crucial step because it will lessen the expected resource advantage favoring Causey for the fall campaign.

STILL UNKNOWN & UNDEFINED It is important to recognize, however, that - despite their similar size - Crawford’s lead is shown to be more fragile than the lead of Republican Tim Griffin in the Second District.  While the electoral winds are blowing in the Republicans' direction, significantly more voters are undecided in the First District contest.

Large chunks of the electorate are unable to form an opinion of the two candidates. Just at 45% of the electorate lacks an opinion of each candidate. Thus, the fall campaign will be crucial in shaping the final results.

Republicans could be successful in unfavorably tying Chad Causey to his former boss, incumbent Rep. Marion Berry, and to Washington more generally. The recent news about Crawford’s past bankruptcy is indicative of the type of issue that could shape voters’ perceptions of the Republican as they are getting to know him.

PARTY LOYALTY & INDEPENDENTS  Crawford’s lead results, first, from the fact that Republicans - long in the minority in the district - are more unified behind their nominee. 84% of self-identified Republicans support Crawford, while 73% of Democrats presently support Causey.  In particular, Causey is underperforming with African-American voters in the district. Second, and even more important, independents are leaning strongly towards the Republican (54-21% with 20% undecided).

POLL BACKGROUND This poll was conducted by Talk Business Research and Hendrix College. The poll, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.9%, was completed using IVR survey technology on Tuesday, August 17, 2010 among 630 registered Arkansas voters in Congressional District 1 who indicated they were "likely" to vote in the November 2, 2010 general election. 74% of those surveyed have voted in a minimum of 2 of the last 4 general elections. Voters with a less frequent voting history were allowed in the sample to account for younger voters and first-time voters of all ages.

Our weighting assumptions include adjustments for an undersample of minority voters and we have weighted to balance the gender of the district based on 2008 general election returns.
All media outlets are welcome to reprint, reproduce, or rebroadcast information from this poll with proper attribution to Talk Business and Hendrix College.  For interviews, Brock can be reached by email at roby@talkbusiness.net.

Tags: Arkansas, AR-01, 1st District, 2010 Election, Rick Crawford, Chad Causey, poll, Talk Business ARRA News Service.

Monday, August 9, 2010

Mark Martin at ARGOP State Convention

Secretary of State Candidate Rep. Mark Martin speaking at the Republican Party of Arkansas 2010 State Convention. [Video] Mark Martin for Secretary of State


Tags: Mark Martin, Pat O'Brien, Secretary of State, Arkansas Secretary of State, speech, candidate, Secretary of State, Republican, Republican Party of Arkansas, GOP Arkansas, Arkansas GOP, Arkansas, Politics

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Mark Darr at ARGOP State Convention

Lt. Governor Candidate Mark Darr speaking at the Republican Party of Arkansas 2010 State Convention. [Video] Mark Darr for Lt Governor


Tags: Mark Darr, Shane Broadway, Arkansas Lt Governor, Arkansas Governor, speech, candidate, Lt Governor, Republican, Republican Party of Arkansas, GOP Arkansas, Arkansas GOP, Arkansas, Politics

Saturday, August 7, 2010

Jim Keet at ARGOP State Convention

Gubernatorial Candidate Jim Keet speaking at the 2010 Republican Party of Arkansas State Convention about jobs, education, government waste, ethics reform and the Arkansas' ole boy network and how they love their planes, games and automobiles. [Video] Jim Keet for Congress


Tags: Jim Keet, Mike Beebe, Arkansas Governor, speech, candidate, governor, Republican, Republican Party of Arkansas, GOP Arkansas, Arkansas GOP, Arkansas, Politics

Friday, August 6, 2010

Rep. John Boozman at ARGOP State Convention

Congressman John Boozman speaking to the 2010 Republican Party of Arkansas State Convention. [Video] John Boozman for US Senate


Tags: John Boozman, Congressman John Boozman, speech, candidate, US Senate, Republican, Republican Party of Arkansas, GOP Arkansas, Arkansas GOP, Arkansas, Politics

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Another Democrat Endorses Crawford

Conservative Republican candidate for Arkansas' 1st Congressional District Rick Crawford today announced Dr. Terry Green has endorsed the Jonesboro veteran and agri-businessman in the race for the seat being vacated by Democrat Marion Berry.

Dr. Green ran for the Democrat nomination in the race against five others, including Chad Causey who won the nomination to run against Crawford. Yesterday Crawford announced the support of three senior campaign staff members of Tim Wooldridge. Wooldridge was also defeated by Causey for the Democrat nomination.

Dr. Green stated, "I got to know Rick as we met at various campaign events across the District and found him dedicated to the people of the First District more than he was any political party." Green and Wooldridge's former campaign staffers' endorsements are evidence that Arkansas' 1st District could be slipping away from the clutches of Causey and the Democrat party, which has held the district's congressional seat since Reconstruction.

Causey's history as Berry's chief-of-staff when the retiring Congressman abandoned his constituents to support Obama's liberal agenda appears to be working against him as the November elections draw nearer. Democratvoters in the 1st district may fear Causey has inherited Berry's willingness to vote against the best interests and will of his constituents in order to patronize the evermore unpopular President Obama and Democrat party.

Crawford, who has lived, worked, and created jobs in the district for many years is convincing Republicans and Democrats his loyalty lies with the voters back home. "I believe Rick Crawford will put us first in Washington as he fights to restore our economy, put people back to work, and implement common-sense based healthcare reform," stated Green.

"It is an honor to receive the endorsement of Dr. Green. It was a pleasure getting to know Dr. Green as we met on the campaign trail during the primary season and found him to be a passionate American who wanted to do what was right for the people of the First District. I share those same passions as Dr. Green and I look forward to working with him as we continue on to November 2nd," said Crawford.

Tags: 1st Congressional District, Arkansas, Democrat, endorsement, Rick Crawford, Terry Green

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Rick Crawford On Voting For Speaker of the House

When Rick Crawford is elected to Congress in November to represent the First District of Arkansas, who will he support for Speaker of the House? Well one name, Nancy Pelosi, will not be on that list! [video]

Tags: AR-01, Arkansas, Candidate for Congress, Nancy Pelosi, Rick Crawford, US House

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Former Wooldridge Staffers Join Crawford Campaign

While liberal Democrats in Washington cry about a lack of bipartisanship because conservatives will not bow down and accept the Obama-Reid-Pelosi agenda, bipartisanship is alive and well in Arkansas' First Congressional District.

Conservative Republican candidate Rick Crawford today announced that three high-level former staffers of the Wooldridge for Congress campaign are now working for the Jonesboro Republican. Tim Wooldridge lost his bid for the Democratic nomination in the First District in Arkansas' primary. Chad Causey defeated Wooldridge and will run against Crawford for the seat being vacated by Marion Berry.

"Todd Gazaway, of Paragould, served as Campaign Chairman for the Tim Wooldridge for Congress Campaign. Todd will hold a similar position with Crawford and cited Rick's conservative values as the reason for his support. 'Rick is the pro-life, pro-traditional values candidate that reflects my values and the values of Arkansans in the First District. It will be an honor working with him and his other senior staff as we progress further in his campaign.'

Barry Phillips, of Jonesboro, served as a senior staff member and financial advisor for the Tim Wooldridge for Congress Campaign. Phillps, who like Gazaway cited Crawford's conservative values, also underscored Rick's experience in job creation as his reason for joining the campaign. 'Rick understands that every piece of legislation has a moral implication for families in the First District and I believe Rick is the person we need in Washington at this very critical time in our country.'

Doug Smith, of Cave City, who served as senior field director for Tim Wooldridge for Congress, will serve in the same position on the Crawford Campaign. Rick is going to do all he can to help put people back to work and ensure that Arkansans in the First District come first, not any political agenda in Washington.'"

These former Democrat staffers realize we cannot afford to send Causey, Berry's former chief-of-staff, to Washington.
Tags: Arkansas, Chad Causey, First Congressional District, Rick Crawford, Tim Wooldridge

Sunday, August 1, 2010

Arkansas Blue Dog Didn't Bark - 1st Anniversary of Healthcare Vote Remembered

Rankin for US Congress
PINE BLUFF, AR – Congressional candidate Beth Anne Rankin of Magnolia said Arkansas’ ”Blue Dog” congressman didn’t bark when his voice was needed on July 31, 2009.

Tags: 4th District, Arkansas, Beth Ann Ranking, Blue Dog, Mike Ross, national healthcare

In a news conference Saturday, Rankin said the House Energy and Commerce Committee approved part of the Democrat’s health care legislation. The vote was 31 to 28. Five Democrats joined all 23 Republicans on the committee in opposing the measure. Congressman Mike Ross voted for it.

“Exactly one year ago today, Congressman Mike Ross (D-AR Dist4) sat on the House Energy and Commerce Committee and he voted for the healthcare bill,” Rankin said. “The people of Arkansas had already spoken about that bill. They had been very clear in their distaste and distrust of that bill. Arkansans are unified in their belief that we need healthcare reform in America, but we need the right healthcare reform.”

Three House committees had to approve different parts of the bill. Energy and Commerce, Ways and Means, and Education and Labor passed all three parts.   If one committee had not passed it, the bill would not have made it to the floor of the House.

“In that committee, Arkansas had an opportunity to lead. Arkansas had an opportunity to act. Arkansas had an opportunity to kill a bill which most Arkansans do not support” Rankin said. “We needed someone to stand up for us when we had that place at the table. Mike Ross caved. He gave in to the peer pressures and we lost that opportunity.”

The committee vote was the critical vote on that bill. By the time the bill reached the floor of the House of Representatives, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi had enough votes to pass it with out Ross’s vote. When his vote didn’t count, he voted against it, she said.

She called the vote-juggling act “The Healthcare Hustle.”   “He had a choice -- the people or Pelosi. Congressman Ross went with Nancy Pelosi,” Rankin said. “Congressman Mike Ross led the way with the Healthcare Hustle because Nancy Pelosi could count on him. The people of Arkansas needed to count on him, but it was Pelosi at the end of the day who was able to count on him.”

Ross calls himself a “Blue Dog” Democrat which allegedly means he is a conservative for a Democrat.  “I know Congressman Ross is proud of that Blue Dog reputation. Well, we needed our Blue Dog to bark on July 31, 2009. He did not bark,” Rankin said.  Voters in the 29 counties that make up the Fourth Congressional District should not accept excuses, she said.

“Congressman Ross will say he voted for it because the bill deserved debate. No sir! That bill did not deserve debate. Bad bills deserve to be killed. I’m sorry that in 10 years he hasn’t learned that,” Rankin said. “I would have voted against the health care bill one year ago today. That’s what you do in committees. You kill bad bills or you do surgery to fix them.”

The healthcare bill started out as a cost containment measure. The end result does nothing to control costs. Rankin said she is running to stop runaway spending in Washington. She wants the federal government to live within its budget just like Arkansas families must live within theirs.  “This bill is not going to help. If you have to tax people for four years before you launch it, the cost is not sustainable. The numbers just don’t crunch,” Rankin said.

Rankin is a small business owner and seventh-generation south Arkansan who spent seven years working in the Governor's Office for Gov. Mike Huckabee.   As Huckabee's Policy Advisor for State-Federal Affairs, Rankin served as the liaison to the National Governors Association, the Southern Governors Association, Capitol Hill and the White House. Rankin coordinated the Governor's Summit on Economic Development, Play it Again Arkansas and chaired the state-wide initiative for the design of the Arkansas State Quarter, leading the nation in citizen participation.

While serving in the Governor's Office she also served as a Board Member on the Arkansas Martin Luther King, Jr. Commission. Born in El Dorado and raised on the Rankin Farm in Magnolia, she was an Honor Graduate of Magnolia High School, attended Southern Arkansas University and graduated Magna Cum Laude from Ouachita Baptist University with a double major in history and music. Beth Anne is a Nationally-Certified Teacher of Music (NCTM) and launched Beth Anne Productions in Magnolia, an independent music teaching studio.   Rankin co-hosts a weekly radio talk show and speaks at women's conferences throughout the region and state